Plump-Refuse
0x2b304207fc2eb0032251bd37d9823dcacbae4f6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$50.28
Total PnL
$-0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.63
$0.00
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$0.04
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.57
$0.02
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.56
$0.01
- NO
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.55
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.50
$0.01
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.40
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.39
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.38
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.37
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Mark Carney in October?$1.02Oct 25, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.59Oct 6, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.37Oct 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.55Oct 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$1.55Oct 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?$1.37Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral AI have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model on October 31?$1.37Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$1.27Oct 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?$1.33Oct 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?$1.27Oct 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?$1.30Oct 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?$1.27Oct 6, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$20.2KOct 6, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.1KOct 6, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.49Oct 5, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $355.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".