Helpful-Cheese
0x2b340fca886b3c7a2cc928c4a89162133fe4b202
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$131.92
Win rate
71%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
217 shares @ 90.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$194.22
$-2.42
- NO
Will Kendrick Meek Jr. be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$188.69
$6.70
- NO
Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$184.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
200 shares @ 90.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$180.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$180.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bale Dalton be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?
200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$162.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
583 shares @ 46.7¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$151.69
$-121.00
- NO
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
158 shares @ 89.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.13
$-1.21
- YES
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
159 shares @ 91.7¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jul 25, 2028$139.99
$-5.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?$0.18Jul 29, 07:02 UTC
- MERGEWill Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?$3.03Jul 29, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.20Jul 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.83Jul 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?$25.60Jul 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marialana Kinter be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?$2.86Jul 29, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$37.00Jul 29, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?$0.50Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?$4.29Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$43.00Jul 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$74.00Jul 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?$30.40Jul 29, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?$7.50Jul 29, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?$5.67Jul 29, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?$2.03Jul 29, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?$0.76Jul 29, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marialana Kinter be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?$44.50Jul 29, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marialana Kinter be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?$44.50Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marialana Kinter be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?$44.50Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing?$45.00Jul 29, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
51 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $21.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.