First-Skill
0x2b403f53735dfcb68c88ee97cef351cdde7d7d6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$129.49
Total PnL
$29.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$83.33
$73.33
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$23.08
$8.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$23.08
$8.08
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jamie Dimon for Treasury Secretary?
1662 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration?
452 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?
33 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the November unemployment rate be 4.0% or less?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the November unemployment rate be 4.0% or less?$5.00Nov 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration? $10.00Nov 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $10.00Nov 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$10.00Nov 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?$15.00Nov 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Jamie Dimon for Treasury Secretary?$5.00Nov 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$15.00Nov 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$15.00Nov 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$15.00Nov 18, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $11.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".