First-Magazine
0x2b449522fe2c2c73639ed76c219c403028e7820e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
27253 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-199.98
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
24614 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-193.98
- YES
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
22222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
19968 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
15534 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Will Biden speak at the DNC?
10542 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
5037 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
4196 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
2632 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League?
395 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$49.00Dec 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$41.67Dec 5, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$100.00Aug 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$100.00Aug 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee? $100.00Aug 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$194.00Aug 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden speak at the DNC?$200.00Aug 17, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$200.00Aug 17, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$200.00Aug 17, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?$200.00Aug 17, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?$200.00Aug 17, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$5.00Aug 6, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$10.00Aug 6, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League?$100.00May 31, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $127.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".