Flickering-Bandanna
0x2b479a33f8e14d81c5d334e3e3d7d38daedb229d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$59.50
Total PnL
$-6.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 43.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.55
$6.55
- YES
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$11.36
$6.36
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$10.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$8.77
$3.77
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$7.81
$2.81
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
620 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.54
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?$5.00Dec 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.78Dec 9, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?$5.00Dec 5, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.00Dec 5, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?$5.00Dec 3, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?$5.00Dec 2, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$5.00Dec 2, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Nov 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.60Nov 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$5.00Nov 28, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$5.00Nov 28, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$9.99Nov 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.54Nov 24, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$5.00Nov 24, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".