Sweaty-Tape
0x2b48eee669d539491ed0e15163c5f81e995c3b4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$6.25
Total PnL
$1.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?$3.45May 29, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henan FC win on 2026-05-30?$3.00May 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.47May 26, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in February?$1.86Mar 13, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$2.32Mar 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$1.24Feb 25, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in February?$1.51Feb 24, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$0.00Jan 30, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.69Jan 30, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.57Jan 30, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$11.59Jan 30, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$1.36Jan 5, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.18Jan 5, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$1.90Jan 4, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$3.53Jan 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.79Dec 26, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.34Dec 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?$2.52Dec 25, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.55Dec 24, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.