Yearly-Curry
0x2b58d7d4b9ab4d640f0a91b859e6a2b106e6d734
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$109.73
Total PnL
$-276.64
Realised
$3.41
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4?
105 shares @ 47.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$50.94
$1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4?
105 shares @ 23.4¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$44.67
$20.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4?
105 shares @ 26.7¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.35
$-20.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?
50 shares @ 26.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.25
$-8.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.33
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 4?
22 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.09
$0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3?
50 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.03
$-15.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 3?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.03
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.03
$-2.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?
50 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.02
$-5.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$5.52Aug 3, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$1.05Aug 3, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$1.10Aug 3, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$1.10Aug 3, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$2.00Aug 3, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$1.20Aug 3, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$4.00Aug 3, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$6.25Aug 3, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4?$19.00Aug 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?$5.65Aug 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?$5.66Aug 3, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?$1.60Aug 3, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?$0.80Aug 3, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?$0.55Aug 3, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?$1.38Aug 3, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?$1.97Aug 3, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3?$16.54Aug 3, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?$2.11Aug 3, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?$1.94Aug 3, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?$0.59Aug 3, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.