Likely-Firm
0x2b5c489f63d26a6fa1f899466e37fcafe750e5aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-13.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- KARMINE CORP
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- MADISON KEYS
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?
968 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 15?
810 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
643 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-265.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 15?
601 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
543 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 15?
522 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32May 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$7.70May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9AM ET$4.78May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 29?$5.02May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?$4.92May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 29?$5.08May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$12.84May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9AM ET$7.37May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10.03May 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.32May 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$7.68May 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$139.59May 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.93May 29, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.49May 29, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.93May 29, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.51May 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$4.36May 29, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.00May 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$4.01May 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$6.29May 29, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.