Well-Documented-Bankruptcy
0x2b5cab539f61db67a3500f418abc8254f5ad3c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.86
Realised
$-9.19
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 25?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 30?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 29?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 25?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 26?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 29?
17 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on March 25?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 26?
10 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 1?
9 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 26?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 2?$1.05Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?$2.33Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 1?$2.42Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 30?$4.55Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 30?$5.21Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 3?$5.36Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 1?$5.53Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 1?$5.84Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 3?$40.19Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 15?$0.59Apr 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 3?$5.00Apr 3, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 3?$40.00Apr 3, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 3?$1.07Apr 3, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 3?$1.00Apr 3, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 2?$1.00Apr 2, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 2?$1.00Apr 2, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 1?$2.00Apr 1, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.