Defenseless-Loaf
0x2b70edf72024cbe17a0cb8ea63f53723e017b229
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-687.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
2334 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
1160 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-104.40
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 18?
1061 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
1014 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-152.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 14?
985 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 20?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 20?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
184 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-64.54
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 20?
38 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$64.54Mar 24, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$43.00Mar 24, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.93Mar 23, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.10Mar 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$6.50Mar 23, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$70.88Mar 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.4KFeb 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$23.35Jan 31, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$24.30Jan 31, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$2.47Jan 31, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$54.28Jan 31, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 31, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$194.07Jan 31, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$152.15Jan 31, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 31, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$870.15Jan 31, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$132.32Jan 31, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $92.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.