Outrageous-Elk
0x2b79519b181eb6c1cc6667f7c81f06ee087ae2b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.12
Total PnL
$-26.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur vs. Villarreal end in a draw?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?$3.00Dec 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.74Dec 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$1.00Dec 14, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?$1.00Dec 14, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.69Dec 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?$1.00Nov 30, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?$1.36Nov 30, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?$1.00Nov 30, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?$1.16Nov 30, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?$1.00Nov 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?$1.00Nov 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?$0.40Nov 22, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?$2.06Nov 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?$1.00Nov 22, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?$1.00Nov 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.37Nov 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?$1.00Nov 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2025-11-15?$1.00Nov 14, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".