Insidious-Gallbladder
0x2b82392f8c5ac3442bd7faf9f56551da6c9904a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-58.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
11500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.99
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + JA21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will LAR/CHI/BUF/PHI/NE/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?$1.00Jan 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?$1.00Jan 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?$1.00Jan 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Panthers visit?$1.00Jan 15, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during Panthers visit?$1.00Jan 15, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$2.00Jan 15, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?$1.00Jan 14, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?$1.00Jan 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?$1.00Jan 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$1.00Jan 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton charged by January 31?$2.00Jan 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?$1.00Jan 13, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".