Probable-Kiosk
0x2b86e0ceacd5f9b2fd4d1699c620058f71f869fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$85.82
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
81 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$80.29
$-0.04
- CHICAGO CUBS
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$3.07
$0.03
- BOSTON RED SOX
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.46
$-0.39
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)
5802 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- UNDER
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)
7 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)
7 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- UNDER
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- UNDER
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5$7.60Jun 5, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$8.40Jun 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)$3.04Jun 5, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)$1.46Jun 4, 09:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$4.20Jun 3, 04:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5$2.77Jun 2, 07:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5$7.60May 31, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$7.80May 31, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$10.60May 31, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5$2.58May 31, 04:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5$1.79May 30, 08:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)$1.85May 29, 05:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".