Pessimistic-Blackfish
0x2b8a3b59d29fd3caf68df9150cea1104d958f354
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$8.60
Total PnL
$-697.15
Realised
$-1.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
296 shares @ 10.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$8.60
$-21.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
7361 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-86.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
69 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-62.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
55 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-54.16
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
52 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-18.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
46 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-45.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
31 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$9.26Apr 30, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.17Apr 30, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$6.58Feb 26, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$7.00Feb 26, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$15.56Feb 26, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$7.00Feb 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$7.00Feb 26, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$14.35Feb 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.99Feb 26, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.35Feb 26, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.66Feb 26, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$7.00Feb 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$7.00Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$7.00Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$14.35Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$15.67Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$3.00Feb 26, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.96Feb 26, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.