Ultimate-Whelp
0x2b8c9b5c6c32d677e8ea210b222ddfc94f5e3771
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.5K
Realised
$-759.26
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
1683 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-960.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
1357 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-709.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
1309 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-476.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
1241 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
1138 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-412.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
1123 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-579.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
1059 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-388.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
1052 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-470.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
1044 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-507.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
1032 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-418.32
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$21.21Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$20.04Jun 26, 15:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$19.94Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$46.11Jun 25, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$45.24Jun 25, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$38.43Jun 25, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$39.25Jun 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$28.12Jun 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$12.03Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$7.75Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$17.16Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$17.60Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$15.71Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.78Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$11.38Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$3.83Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.88Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.24Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.99Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$7.26Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.