Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$40.94

Total PnL

$-46.95

Realised

$4.62

Win rate

67%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 38

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$9.21
$4.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$8.72
$6.02
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$6.00
$3.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026
$5.00
$2.60
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026
$5.00
$2.40
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$5.00
$2.55
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
1 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$1.00
$0.47
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
1 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$1.00
$0.52
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
123 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$0.00
$-7.72
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
13 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.30

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.20Apr 6, 16:08 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.33Apr 6, 15:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.04Apr 6, 15:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.60Apr 6, 15:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.33Apr 6, 15:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.65Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.70Apr 6, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.65Apr 6, 14:58 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.85Apr 6, 14:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.56Apr 6, 14:42 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.34Apr 6, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.49Apr 6, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.87Apr 6, 14:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$3.01Apr 6, 14:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 00:59 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry74 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 15
Avg trade size: $1.37
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 2, 00:55 UTC
Last active: Apr 6, 16:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:17:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data