Joyful-Picturesque-Tachometer
0x2b8e3388db15438641f6149b1e31af30f2256719
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-177.11
Realised
$4.34
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?
201 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
185 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
173 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 17?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.06Jul 3, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.36Jul 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.05Jul 3, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.04Jul 3, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.05Jul 3, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.22Jul 3, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.03Jul 3, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Jul 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.76Jun 29, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.05Jun 29, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.04Jun 29, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.03Jun 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.07Jun 29, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.21Jun 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.04Jun 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.15Jun 29, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.03Jun 29, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.31Jun 29, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.