Harsh-Analysis
0x2b94d60d1af3bff7944c2b5cbed374e276642cf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$4.01
Total PnL
$91.82
Realised
$237.06
Win rate
100%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
4 shares @ 3.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$4.01
$3.87
- YES
Will Tea Dating Advice be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
588 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will McDonald’s be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
588 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
588 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
569 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $130,000 on October 16?
380 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $128,000 and $130,000 on October 16?
380 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 16?
380 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 16?
360 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 16?
360 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?$0.13Oct 29, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?$0.77Oct 29, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.40Oct 29, 15:58 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.21Oct 16, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.21Oct 16, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 Thieves win LoL Worlds 2025?$0.06Oct 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2025?$0.05Oct 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Movistar KOI win LoL Worlds 2025?$0.06Oct 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?$0.60Oct 16, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.08Oct 16, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.32Oct 16, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?$0.40Oct 16, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$2.52Oct 16, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?$4.80Oct 16, 06:21 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed decision in December?$20.30Oct 16, 06:06 UTC
- CONVERSIONLoL Worlds 2025 Winner$12.00Oct 16, 06:06 UTC
- MERGEWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$12.00Oct 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.12Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.45Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".