Flowery-Reamer
0x2b9582ae179664d7d792666467a77d1af101898a
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$15.62
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-45.87
Win rate
0%
163 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?
16 shares @ 51.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$15.59
$7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?
37 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.02
$-23.07
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 12?
15 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.01
$-7.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 23?
53 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-28.64
- UNDER
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
43 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?
40 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?
37 shares @ 80.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?
31 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.86
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
29 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 18?
29 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?$12.29Aug 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 12?$7.78Aug 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 12?$7.94Aug 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?$12.45Aug 12, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?$15.36Aug 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?$30.04Aug 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?$7.78Aug 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?$7.45Aug 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?$0.53Aug 12, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?$7.77Aug 12, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?$7.87Aug 12, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 11?$1.30Aug 12, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?$7.89Aug 12, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?$7.77Aug 12, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?$7.78Aug 12, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?$7.78Aug 12, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?$7.78Aug 12, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 11?$10.37Aug 12, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?$4.89Aug 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?$0.38Aug 12, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 163 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
163 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 163 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.