Intent-Nonsense
0x2b95b6501d55b9fae679caaa35f1ad6fc68d8bd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-63.80
Win rate
2%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
727 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
588 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
552 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-292.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
464 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-248.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
375 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
271 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
269 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
228 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$20.60Aug 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.09Aug 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$22.19Aug 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$16.35Aug 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$16.85Aug 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$8.05Aug 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$7.40Aug 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.14Aug 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$4.84Aug 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.08Aug 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$103.31Aug 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$10.31Aug 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$16.73Aug 15, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.36Aug 15, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$10.38Aug 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$10.47Aug 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.05Aug 15, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$27.08Aug 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$10.47Aug 15, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
200 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $18.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.