Arid-Descendant
0x2ba16ff5543bb683fd018dab3dc585f12360bef2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$18.79
Total PnL
$-7.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
13 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$13.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- VANDERBILT COMMODORES
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
15 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Mar 21, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$13.00Mar 21, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers$8.00Mar 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.72Mar 21, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15.55Mar 21, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15.50Oct 3, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?$5.61Oct 3, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 5 ET?$15.03Oct 3, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Guardians$990.91Oct 3, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 5 ET?$15.00Oct 1, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. Guardians$545.00Oct 1, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 1, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$2.44Oct 1, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?$3.67Oct 1, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$4.01Oct 1, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 13?$6.20Oct 1, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?$6.25Oct 1, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$4.00Jun 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?$3.60Jun 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 13?$6.10Jun 12, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $26.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 14:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.