Flimsy-Landform
0x2ba243318d09518f393f23506bce17ed1a6cfb46
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$19.24
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
7 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$7.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$1.01Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$1.01Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.01Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.02Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.02Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$1.02Dec 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 3, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 2, 07:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".