Vague-Bassoon
0x2ba8280cdb8f1e0396140ffe4e810e33758bdf0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.20
Total PnL
$1.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
3 shares @ 78.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$3.33
$0.73
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.05
$0.35
- NO
GPT-5 released in 2024?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.37
$0.37
- YES
European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2024$1.29
$0.09
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
1 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.02
$0.42
- YES
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. Recession in 2024?
1 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will MSFT be the largest company by mcap on September 30?
1 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$0.50Oct 10, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?$0.72Oct 7, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$1.00Oct 1, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike on Moscow by September 30?$1.09Oct 1, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.60Oct 1, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?$0.60Oct 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?$0.60Oct 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2024?$0.60Oct 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?$0.60Oct 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel invade Lebanon before November?$2.48Sep 30, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$0.80Sep 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin new all time high in 2024?$0.60Sep 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?$0.76Sep 30, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Lebanon before November?$1.23Sep 30, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 released in 2024?$1.00Sep 29, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Lebanon before November?$1.00Sep 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Israel" during her Nevada speech?$0.16Sep 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?$0.86Sep 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?$0.15Sep 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?$0.86Sep 29, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".