Elastic-Equation
0x2bc75bef440d4bac46893ba5fbc0a1cedc2e46f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$51.00
Total PnL
$-62.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.34
$4.84
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
51 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.66
$-4.84
- LEGACY
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?
50 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
10 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.51
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00May 20, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.36May 20, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.23May 20, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$6.22May 20, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.20May 20, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.50May 20, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$3.11Apr 28, 16:53 UTC
- SPLITUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$51.00Apr 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.20Apr 28, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.11Apr 28, 16:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$20.15Feb 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.27Feb 28, 17:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 28, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 25, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $6.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.