Specific-Manipulation
0x2bce4bd2bd0318d0c6cc58708849a6f442b8fa40
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$110.60
Total PnL
$0.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?
21 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.36
$0.36
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
19 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$19.00May 20, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?$21.02May 20, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.00May 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.00May 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.00May 20, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$49.71May 20, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$60.36May 20, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$49.46Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$60.00Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?$8.75Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.02Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$20.04Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.06Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.08Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.51Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?$8.74Dec 29, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$20.00Dec 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.00Dec 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.00Dec 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.00Dec 29, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $27.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.