Natural-Round
0x2bdbdf7d147ed8f500bc64f6f795f9de12fdec5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-4.62
Win rate
1%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1081 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-118.00
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
387 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- OVER
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
214 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
200 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- UNDER
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
193 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
163 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
152 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
147 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$11.28Aug 16, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$11.34Aug 16, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$22.58Aug 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$13.15Aug 16, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$11.32Aug 16, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$16.88Aug 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$11.30Aug 16, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$18.73Aug 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$11.38Aug 16, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.13Aug 16, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$3.08Aug 16, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.99Aug 16, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$11.29Aug 16, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.09Aug 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.41Aug 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.03Aug 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.27Aug 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$4.05Aug 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.18Aug 13, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 83 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
83 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.