Defiant-Heifer
0x2be84ecad848866b25c7e9ed34084e92e7ba374a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "back to friends - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
244 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
59 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$2.00Apr 6, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.00Apr 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$0.00Jan 11, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$0.00Jan 11, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$0.00Jan 11, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$0.00Jan 11, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 11, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".