Probable-Muskrat
0x2be87a9c4ff037a476ffd36170eea7dc25a50d61
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-134.50
Realised
$9.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
2094 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
576 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
213 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
192 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
107 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
104 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$41.61Jun 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$3.85Jun 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.11Jun 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$10.29Jun 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$15.36Jun 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$10.28Jun 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$5.12Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$5.14Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.14Jun 17, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.13Jun 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.13Jun 17, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.14Jun 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.14Jun 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.12Jun 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.12Jun 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.13Jun 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals$5.14Jun 17, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$5.13Jun 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.14Jun 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.14Jun 17, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.