Jolly-Devil
0x2bed6a2f266edf810c785aa3a0c5d9f97c81dda5
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$110.42
Total PnL
$-4.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
139 shares @ 53.1¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$70.64
$-3.34
- YES
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
14 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$13.92
$2.92
- CELTICS
Raptors vs. Celtics
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$13.51
$3.51
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
184 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$11.00Jan 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Celtics$10.00Jan 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 9, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$73.98Nov 7, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?$51.02Nov 7, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$22.96Nov 5, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 10?$20.53Oct 29, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?$50.00Oct 27, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Oct 9, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 10?$20.00Oct 9, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $28.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.