Ringed-Full-Chicory
0x2bee89dcb2eae3616ad3e87ff3a0e730fd2766d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$152.95
Total PnL
$-480.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$37.44
$7.44
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$34.91
$4.91
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.00
$-18.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
53 shares @ 60.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.47
$-12.53
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$18.39
$3.39
- NO
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
18 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.36
$1.36
- NO
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
10 shares @ 90.5¢·now 43.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.38
$-4.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
2690 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-41.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
125 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$32.00Aug 1, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$28.57Aug 1, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$15.00Aug 1, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$30.00Aug 1, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$17.71Aug 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$19.74Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$15.00Jul 24, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$27.20Jul 20, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$12.37Jul 17, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.45Jul 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$25.00Jul 12, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$33.06Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$20.24Jul 9, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$21.62Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$16.12Jul 7, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$16.33Jul 6, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$8.12Jul 6, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$0.00Jul 5, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$30.40Jul 5, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $25.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 22:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.