Fantastic-Lye
0x2bef64aba2ba49c241e85575aa6d26653d2374d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$11.63
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 23?$11.61Oct 25, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$3.18Oct 25, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$3.16Sep 23, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$3.87Sep 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$3.86Aug 25, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?$2.24Aug 25, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?$2.22Jul 18, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$1.34Jul 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$1.33Jun 23, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in May?$2.18Jun 23, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in May?$2.17May 21, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.60May 21, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMCrystal Palace wins the Premier League?$1.48Apr 4, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.46Apr 4, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.55Apr 4, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?$1.11Feb 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thomas Massie be Trump's Defense Secretary?$1.24Feb 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?$1.61Feb 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.45Feb 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?$1.11Jan 16, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.