Wallet digest

active

Activity score

43/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.2K

Realised

$-95.15

Win rate

33%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 27

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
1496 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$0.00
$-166.54
YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?
1378 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-183.47
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
815 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$0.00
$-104.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
800 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026
$0.00
$-180.94
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
694 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$0.00
$-198.42
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
670 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-342.31
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
507 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-113.54
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
499 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-97.93
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
387 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026
$0.00
$-143.36
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
284 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-65.69

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$111.71Apr 11, 23:21 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$13.47Apr 11, 23:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$2.00Apr 11, 23:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$91.28Apr 11, 23:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$4.95Apr 11, 23:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$106.55Apr 11, 23:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$107.80Apr 11, 23:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$46.46Apr 11, 23:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$46.53Apr 11, 23:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$43.49Apr 11, 23:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Apr 10, 00:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Apr 10, 00:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Apr 10, 00:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$77.37Apr 10, 00:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$77.37Apr 10, 00:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$42.44Apr 10, 00:10 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$42.47Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$18.37Apr 9, 23:52 UTC
TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 10?$18.96Apr 9, 23:52 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 10?$20.75Apr 9, 23:39 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry56 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $20.69
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 28, 22:13 UTC
Last active: Apr 11, 23:21 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 14:45:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data