Disastrous-Sulfur
0x2bf683839f89809752741e3f0b09a2f4e685981d
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-307.43
Win rate
18%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
216 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
142 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
102 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
60 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
59 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
57 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-32.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
57 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.42
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
54 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-22.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
49 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-21.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.64Jun 18, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.85Jun 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.96Jun 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.21Jun 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.62Jun 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.58Jun 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.03Jun 18, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.06Jun 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.09Jun 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.28Jun 18, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Jun 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.06Jun 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.46Jun 18, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.04Jun 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.17Jun 18, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.04Jun 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.26Jun 18, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.03Jun 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.37Jun 18, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.64Jun 18, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
44 closed markets, 18% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.