Valuable-Riddle
0x2bf8b9cfedba26752c5a1d560e685b33443b5686
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
193
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$77.90
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
1335 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
560 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
535 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
533 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
531 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
517 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
450 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-69.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
338 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
312 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
311 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$235.81Jul 10, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.53Jul 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.52Jul 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.45Jul 10, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.43Jul 10, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$51.76Jul 10, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.77Jul 10, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.64Jul 10, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.59Jul 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.55Jul 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.53Jul 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.54Jul 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$51.98Jul 10, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$60.98Jul 10, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$50.63Jul 10, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.51Jul 10, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.47Jul 10, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.42Jul 10, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $16.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.