Leading-Hat
0x2c0fce1e01b4bdce1e171ceda13c320c98570f39
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-154.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.85
$-2.15
- NO
Will Apple launch an iPhone Air by November 30?
343 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
47 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
27 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
1,600+ Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$4.08Apr 25, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?$135.14Apr 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$2.00Apr 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$2.00Apr 9, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?$2.00Apr 9, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$15.00Apr 9, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMBig Game - Winning Conference $2.00Feb 11, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$5.00Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$7.94Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?$18.07Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$19.23Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMMacron out in 2025?$20.00Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? $20.54Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?$32.47Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$507.00Jan 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$4.65Dec 2, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEM100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$17.86Nov 7, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$2.00Oct 26, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 24, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".