0x2c10f116bff30d76f0875e2f60cff1c8a940aa68
0x2c10f116bff30d76f0875e2f60cff1c8a940aa68
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-990.35
Realised
$4.53
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10PM ET
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10AM ET
11930 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.93
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
10860 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.72
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2AM ET
10750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7AM ET
10635 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8AM ET
10165 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 6AM ET
10033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 2AM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 7AM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 10PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 20?$15.00Mar 21, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?$2.26Mar 18, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 21?$2.38Mar 18, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 20?$4.80Mar 17, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 19?$2.76Mar 16, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 18?$2.90Mar 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 16?$3.06Mar 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 17?$3.22Mar 13, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 15?$3.39Mar 13, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 12?$9.79Mar 12, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 12?$2.55Mar 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?$3.18Mar 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 13?$3.35Mar 11, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 12?$3.53Mar 10, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?$0.01Mar 10, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 10?$3.71Mar 9, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?$0.01Mar 9, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?$3.83Mar 9, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?$0.01Mar 9, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.