Misty-Peony
0x2c15115956131e353df28f8522bc509c65f2b478
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.37
Total PnL
$-168.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
17 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.37
$2.48
- NO
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4600 and $4700 on August 26 at 4PM ET?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4400 on August 26 at 4PM ET?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
180 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 30 at 4PM ET?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 1 at 4PM ET?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 6AM ET
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$14.89Dec 7, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$4.75Sep 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$0.25Sep 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$0.25Sep 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.08Sep 17, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$4.75Sep 17, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 7, 11AM ET$21.50Sep 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 7, 11AM ET$18.68Sep 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 8AM ET$16.98Sep 6, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 8AM ET$14.62Sep 6, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 6AM ET$3.24Sep 6, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 6AM ET$6.40Sep 6, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 6AM ET$1.60Sep 6, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 6, 6AM ET$4.76Sep 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$1.00Sep 2, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 1 at 4PM ET?$10.34Sep 1, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 1 at 4PM ET?$0.66Sep 1, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$9.07Sep 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$0.92Sep 1, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on August 31 at 4PM ET?$1.24Aug 31, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 24, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.