Illustrious-Gem
0x2c168dbeac65c48f474f310d54fdd133809fe220
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.43
Total PnL
$-36.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
34 shares @ 16.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$-4.07
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
1612 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
565 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEM5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?$0.00Feb 5, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3?$0.00Feb 5, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Feb 5, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.19Feb 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$7.00Feb 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$10.00Feb 3, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3?$2.00Feb 3, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Feb 3, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$5.00Feb 3, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$5.00Feb 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $5.50Feb 3, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.