Dismal-Colleague
0x2c1be0404fdb60d1fd1e5dbe3e6f8becca7f73c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$21.83
Total PnL
$-6.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
3 shares @ 34.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.89
$1.89
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.63
$0.13
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
3 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$2.45Jan 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$14.00Jan 28, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$16.45Jan 28, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$3.85Jan 24, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.10Jan 24, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$1.14Jan 24, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$1.60Jan 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$8.05Jan 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$3.00Jan 24, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$2.00Jan 11, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$13.05Jan 11, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.34Jan 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.80Jan 11, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 11, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$1.50Jan 11, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.50Jan 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 11, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$8.60Jan 10, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.