Gaseous-Stench
0x2c23ac421f6ae4bda505205baa56aa2a1f5b99e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-465.98
Realised
$16.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
U.S. military action against Iran by Monday?
1201 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2024$0.00
$-33.62
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
525 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-13.48
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?
347 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.57
- YES
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
186 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-50.27
- YES
Israel military action against Iran in August?
179 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-97.40
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
157 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.97
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
140 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?
110 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.17
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
105 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$90.97Mar 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.00Mar 1, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$90.91Mar 1, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 11?$0.06Jan 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$16.07Jan 11, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$16.07Jan 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$24.12Jan 8, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$24.12Jan 8, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$28.43Jan 6, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$28.43Jan 6, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$33.27Jan 6, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$20.00Jan 5, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$30.00Jan 5, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 11?$5.00Jan 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$30.00Jan 3, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.00Jan 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$13.02Dec 30, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$10.00Dec 30, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$34.91Dec 29, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$40.35Dec 18, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $19.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".