Mealy-Picnic
0x2c23baa96af218e33a251eafc0dcd98f915d2e3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.83
Realised
$1.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 14?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Kentucky visit?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Kentucky visit?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
17 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Delcy" during Kentucky visit?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Ohio visit?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 14?$1.03Mar 13, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.03Mar 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.34Mar 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.34Mar 13, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.92Mar 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.23Mar 13, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.10Mar 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.17Mar 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.44Mar 13, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.26Mar 13, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 04:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".