0x2c24c527c1fdd2a313c9b65d15e3df52b6249809
0x2c24c527c1fdd2a313c9b65d15e3df52b6249809
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.74
Realised
$8.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1315 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
1097 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 October 6-12?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01?$2.51Nov 1, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.51Nov 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Siversk by October 31?$1.79Oct 30, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.80Oct 30, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Siversk by October 31?$4.88Oct 28, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.68Oct 28, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.00Oct 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$5.00Oct 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$4.75Oct 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$4.00Oct 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$8.75Oct 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$3.72Oct 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.33Oct 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.33Oct 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$1.56Oct 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$1.50Oct 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$6.28Oct 28, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$2.00Oct 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$2.00Oct 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$17.18Oct 28, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.