0x2c263d2d21e5e1eb9ab40b2e5d92fcd16d54bc96
0x2c263d2d21e5e1eb9ab40b2e5d92fcd16d54bc96
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-433.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 10?
282 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on March 11?
216 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 11?
207 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on March 9?
180 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on February 24?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on March 11?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 5?
164 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or higher on February 28?
158 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 24?
156 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on March 16?$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on March 16?$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 12?$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17?$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 16?$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 13?$0.00Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 16?$0.00Apr 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 2?$0.00Mar 19, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 2?$0.00Mar 19, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 16?$0.00Mar 19, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 7?$0.00Mar 18, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 7?$0.00Mar 18, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on March 17?$0.00Mar 18, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 9?$0.00Mar 18, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on March 14?$0.00Mar 18, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on March 14?$0.00Mar 18, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?$0.00Mar 18, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.