Giving-Larch
0x2c2ce8cd46ff9b13fae154f60f22b1a9dd5e8284
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-540.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$334.58Jul 18, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLPump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$0.37Jul 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$49.76Jul 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? $71.95Jul 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLDan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?$97.91Jul 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$114.00Jul 15, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Jul 14, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Jul 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$40.70Jul 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$135.29Jul 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$29.52Jul 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$0.30Jul 13, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$30.07Jul 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?$9.81Jul 13, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?$1.92Jul 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?$19.22Jul 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?$27.84Jul 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$19.47Jul 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$77.73Jul 13, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMSinner vs. Djokovic – Will Sinner win by 4+ games? $0.00Jul 12, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $42.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.