Nifty-Screwdriver
0x2c2d9e20279be13b07a82feda4472003e91f1515
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 3?
283 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 1?
281 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 8?
280 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?
280 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 12PM ET
277 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 29-January 4?
268 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16?
242 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on March 27?
220 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?
153 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 22?
149 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 4?$75.00Jul 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 4?$72.75Jul 3, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 4?$3.64Jun 4, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$69.19Jun 1, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$0.19May 30, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$67.62May 30, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?$78.42May 18, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.66May 18, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?$0.29May 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 18?$76.88May 18, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$78.50May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$0.15May 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$0.08May 10, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$76.01May 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$4.19May 9, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?$0.00Apr 30, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 14?$69.00Apr 15, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 14?$66.24Apr 13, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1?$80.66Apr 6, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1?$77.43Apr 1, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $24.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.