Common-Authorisation
0x2c37e469b488b0d69a6fd828c82a1ef7e493a55a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-108.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hostage" 5+ times during Egypt summit?
873 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-14.25
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
260 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?
93 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-12.59
- NO
Will anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 30+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?
20 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Defund" or "Defunding" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?
19 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?$65.00Oct 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$65.00Oct 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$66.15Oct 25, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAspinall vs. Gane$66.16Oct 25, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$17.64Oct 25, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$17.64Oct 25, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$11.46Oct 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$11.46Oct 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$11.89Oct 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?$11.89Oct 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$4.35Oct 25, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLDern vs. Jandiroba$4.34Oct 25, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDern vs. Jandiroba$11.50Oct 25, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAspinall vs. Gane$11.50Oct 25, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDern vs. Jandiroba$9.47Oct 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDern vs. Jandiroba$9.48Oct 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDern vs. Jandiroba$10.86Oct 25, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$12.00Oct 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by October 31?$22.86Oct 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by October 31?$33.29Oct 24, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".