Light-Grabbag
0x2c3d1f46c8443ce7a7333b30e02f0068ee166e0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$65.71
Total PnL
$-7.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
54 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
6 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.47
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- NO
Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.56
$-0.44
- NO
Over $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 84.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.74
$-0.26
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
8 shares @ 84.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 7?$2.01May 8, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 7?$2.02May 8, 08:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 7?$2.00May 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 7?$2.00May 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale?$2.00May 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?$3.00May 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$53.02May 7, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$5.26May 7, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$7.29May 7, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $7.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".