Variable-Retrospectivity
0x2c430b6d2ce7f9f9f968b306b06e18df8fd9b289
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$642.03
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$18.40
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
349 shares @ 85.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$349.03
$49.44
- NO
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
164 shares @ 78.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$164.42
$35.76
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
50 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$49.77
$1.35
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?
22 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$22.00
$4.18
- NO
Will Aston Villa be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
18 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$18.31
$0.24
- NO
Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
17 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$16.50
$0.16
- NO
Will Liverpool be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$11.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Arsenal be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$11.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-22?
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
1111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$9.97Apr 21, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.37Apr 21, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.30Apr 21, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.26Apr 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.10Apr 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.10Apr 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.41Apr 5, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.10Apr 4, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.10Apr 4, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.22Apr 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.27Apr 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.31Apr 1, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.37Apr 1, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.31Apr 1, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.17Apr 1, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.10Mar 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$1.00Mar 21, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.08Mar 1, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.25Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$2.09Mar 1, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $34.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.