Lively-Sense
0x2c468daaae82129573d9e829f870455efe5dc6f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$70.21
Total PnL
$-25.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
70 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$70.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?
48 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MARLINS
Phillies vs. Marlins
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$70.00Nov 16, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?$1.00Nov 16, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$0.00Jun 18, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$2.13Jun 18, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhillies vs. Marlins$1.00Jun 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?$0.00Jan 31, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?$41.49Dec 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?$0.51Dec 12, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$130.87Dec 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?$2.00Nov 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$78.00Nov 2, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?$20.00Nov 2, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.46Nov 2, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?$2.00Oct 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$91.50Oct 14, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$90.61Oct 14, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$80.66Sep 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$70.65Sep 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$69.98Sep 18, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $45.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.