Vague-Toaster
0x2c4aeb3715557087fb20fa320f9d2a959efdc7cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.96
Total PnL
$-4.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 62.6¢·now 60.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
TikTok sale announced by June 19?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump out as President in 2025?$5.32May 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 3?$24.23May 23, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 3?$24.21Apr 3, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on December 10?$1.2KDec 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on December 10?$1.2KDec 9, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$1.2KDec 9, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$1.2KDec 6, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on December 5?$1.2KDec 6, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on December 5?$1.2KDec 5, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on December 4?$1.2KDec 5, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on December 4?$1.2KDec 4, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 3?$1.2KDec 4, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 3?$1.2KDec 3, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 56°F or higher on December 2?$1.2KDec 3, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 56°F or higher on December 2?$1.2KDec 2, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$21.05Dec 2, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on December 1?$1.2KDec 2, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $392.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".